• Avicenna@programming.dev
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    6 days ago

    I don’t think the point is to really build datacenters in space. The point is to convince investors that it can be done in a profitable manner so some people can create a fake businesses out of it and siphon money off the system. Much like the same as trying to convince investors that LLM + more money = AGI

    • AA5B@lemmy.world
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      6 days ago

      I also wonder if this is an entire red herring. There are increasing reasons for more compute in space, such as to pre-filter sensor data.

      Is it to naive/optimistic to think no one is actually looking for a space datacenter to compute terrestrial loads, but they recognize the need for processing space loads?

      • architect@thelemmy.club
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        6 days ago

        See now you all are thinking.

        The rich wouldn’t tell us this shit if it wasn’t going to be used as some spin/distraction whatever it is.

    • kossa@feddit.org
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      6 days ago

      It’s a legal thing. No (real) jurisdiction. In space nobody will shut down Grok generating kiddo porn. It’s basically the precursor for Epstein Island 2.0.

  • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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    7 days ago

    My question is always how the hell are you going to cool them. Do you know hard it is to move heat in a vacuum?

    • EndOfLine@lemmy.world
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      7 days ago

      The problems; plural; is that the person who popularized the idea of data centers in space has little to zero understanding of any of the space sciences and yet owns and directs one of the world’s largest, and privately owned, aerospace companies with massive government contracts that splits its time with their own AI work.

    • credo@lemmy.world
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      7 days ago

      Easy, just create a long heat sink and dangle it in the earth’s atmosphere. Now we are winning!

    • fallaciousBasis@lemmy.world
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      5 days ago

      How would you power them?

      The surface area of solar panels exceeds the surface area needed for radiators to cool everything.

      In space I would imagine you’d find the perfect sandwich ratio. One bun solar, one bun radiators, the meat being the racks.

    • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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      7 days ago

      Raditors. Starlink v3 can in theory already shed (edit 20) kW of heat. But they would need to figure out how to 5x that and keep things profitable.

      • wewbull@feddit.uk
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        6 days ago

        It would be 20kW for each rack or two. The types of data centre deal they talk about these days are measured in GW of compute. That’s 50,000x just for 1GW.

        • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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          6 days ago

          These aren’t big things, they’re small satellites. They’re going to be ~100kW. They only need to 5x the existing radiator they think will work.

      • BeardededSquidward@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        7 days ago

        What’s going to be performing convection to dissipate heat from the radiator in a manner to support the heat generated by an AI data center?

        • Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          7 days ago

          Obnoxious as he seems to be, he’s actually right, there will be no convection, but they’d radiate heat in a vacuum, by IR IIRC.

          • JcbAzPx@lemmy.world
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            7 days ago

            You’d need an enormous radiator to move the heat a data center puts out. Not even all the billionaires put together could afford that.

            • Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              6 days ago

              Sure, the idea is as bad as solar roadways. It’s actually kind of impressive to come up with an idea that bad.

          • BeardededSquidward@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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            7 days ago

            To do that they’d have to be filled with something other than something water based to be able to do that over a large area which would require constant maintenance to do so. It’s not easily feasible and I doubt people who want to do this or defend it realize that. I have to look it up but it takes Anhydrous Ammonia to perform that in the ISS. Like this is a bad idea and it fries my brain people trying to defend this.

            • Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              6 days ago

              Yeah as I have already said, it’s kind of impressive how bad the idea is, I mean how can it be worse…

          • athatet@lemmy.zip
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            7 days ago

            What you don’t understand is the size requirements those radiators would need to have to cool an entire data center.

                • fallaciousBasis@lemmy.world
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                  6 days ago

                  Zero effort shit post. Cool.

                  Do you ever make posts that demonstrate what your opinions are or what your own thoughts are or do you just like to talk about other people and put them down cuz it makes you feel better?

          • BeardededSquidward@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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            7 days ago

            Tell me you don’t know how radiators actually work without telling me. They dissipate heat via convection through the air surrounding them or gasses in general. What does space lack a significant amount of?

            • anomnom@sh.itjust.works
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              7 days ago

              Yeah so there is some confusion here. The are radiators on cars or in houses, but those are more accurately heat exchangers. Then there are things like heat lamps, which are really IR radiators that convert electricity to infrared light that feels hot.

              Most of the heat you feel at a camp fire is radiant from the flame, unless you are down wind and feeling some convective heat, but most of that heat goes straight up with the smoke.

                • anomnom@sh.itjust.works
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                  Hard to say, but they’ve been using resistive radiative cooling In space a long time.

                  Also a tech ingredients made a neat video about building one and radiating heat out into space from the ground. It was cool to see what happened when it was cloudy and stopped working.

    • Fermion@mander.xyz
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      7 days ago

      With radiators just like with every existing satellite system.

      https://youtu.be/DCto6UkBJoI&t=12m57s

      Very large scale datacenters would likely have some nasty fluid handling problems to solve.

      I’ll just note that I am not a fan of putting internet infrastructure in space. I think polluting the upper atmosphere with a bunch of metals every time a satellite deorbits will certainly have negative consequences. So IMO space should be limited to things we can’t do with earthbound infrastructure.

        • XLE@piefed.social
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          7 days ago

          And you can only build so many of those radiator panels before you start running into congestion problems. You don’t want them radiating onto each other.

        • Fermion@mander.xyz
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          7 days ago

          The area of radiator needed directly corresponds to the amount of power harvested by the solar panels. It doesn’t matter what the load is. So a compute frame with the same amount of solar panels as the space station would need approximately the same radiatot area as the ISS, unless you are bringing nuclear power into the mix.

          I agree that space based datacenters are a bad idea, but the thermals really are not the gotcha people are making them out to be.

          • JcbAzPx@lemmy.world
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            7 days ago

            The solar panels needed is another problem for the space data center fantasy. Once you put together all the mass over enough surface area to make it work, you would blot out the sun worldwide.

      • lordnikon@lemmy.world
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        7 days ago

        Yeah the amount of heat a data center vs a satellite your going to super heat the space in that orbit over time. It they are geostationary then its even harder as the the data center doesn’t move away from the heat.

        • erin@piefed.blahaj.zone
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          7 days ago

          Geostationary satellites are not standing still. They’re orbiting the Earth at the same rate that it rotates “beneath” them.

        • nabladabla@sopuli.xyz
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          7 days ago

          Um, it doesn’t make the data center in orbit thing make sense, but a geostationary satellite absolute moves at high speed and does not stay in the same place in space.

          • JcbAzPx@lemmy.world
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            7 days ago

            The heat would be moving at the same speed. Though, that does mean it wouldn’t be any better in any other orbit.

            • Fermion@mander.xyz
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              Thermal energy is primarily dissipated as infrared light which moves at the speed of light. There is no way for space to accumulate heat. If that were the case the entire solar system would be unlivable. The IR emitted by satellites is truly negligible in comparison to the electromagnetic radiation emitted by the sun.

            • nabladabla@sopuli.xyz
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              Again, it doesn’t help the case, but just… no. The heat gets out of the spacecraft by radiating, and radiation doesn’t move in a circular orbit around Earth, it moves at speed of light outwards from where it started.

        • wewbull@feddit.uk
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          6 days ago

          Super heat what in that space? The point is there’s nothing to transfer heat to. All you can do is radiate infra-red light.

        • Fermion@mander.xyz
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          7 days ago

          Radiators in space work by radiating electromagnetic energy(light). Heat can only accumulate in matter, not in space, so that is definitely not one of the things we need to worry about.

        • teft@piefed.social
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          7 days ago

          geostationary then its even harder as the the data center doesn’t move away from the heat.

          Geostationary would leave the satellite in shadow anytime it was night time over the part of the earth since a geostationary orbit is stationary in the sky over a given point at the equator.

          That doesn’t solve any of the cooling problems just saying that you do get some shadow at geostationary orbits.

          There are other orbits that get less shadow though.

          • wewbull@feddit.uk
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            6 days ago

            It’ll be in shadow at midnight, yes, but not necessarily at any other time. Geostationary orbit is at about 7x the radius of the earth.

            As such, the period when in will actually be in shadow is only a short period directly behind the planet.

  • Pommes_für_dein_Balg@feddit.org
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    They’re a great idea if you happen to own a company making AI, a company making rockets, and a company controlling public opinion.

    • chunes@lemmy.world
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      I envision a future so shitty that people are willing to physically destroy data centers in self-defense. Putting them in space is a really good way to combat that.

      • skulblaka@sh.itjust.works
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        7 days ago

        Putting them in space also puts them technically outside of the legal jurisdiction of any country. I figure fElon probably assumes that means said servers can never be subpoenaed.

        • bdonvr@thelemmy.club
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          7 days ago

          I mean a data center barge or one in Antarctica would do much the same and be wildly cheaper and (relatively) more practical.

          • skulblaka@sh.itjust.works
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            7 days ago

            Oh yeah it’s totally a bullshit argument, it wouldn’t hold water in any court. Hell if nothing else, the ground stations like you said, or the country whose airspace the center exists over, would be in jurisdiction.

            But I do believe that Musk believes it’s a get out of jail free card.

            • Elvith Ma'for@feddit.org
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              7 days ago

              Agreed. The US can access/subpoena any data it wants from US companies, even if the servers they host the data on are in Europe or Asia or…

              It doesn’t matter where the servers and the data is located. It matters who posses (or controls the access) to it.

      • chaogomu@lemmy.world
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        Putting data centers in space is a good way to keep people from destroying them. Thermodynamics on the other hand, will have a field day with them.

      • JcbAzPx@lemmy.world
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        7 days ago

        Keep people from destroying data centers by having them destroy themselves? Is this some sort of zen koan?

        • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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          They aren’t maintained. They’re a constellation of small satellites in LEO like starlink that just go up and eventually come down.

          If they’re too far up latency would be too high

          No one is repairing any of these starlink type dishes.

          • CheeseNoodle@lemmy.world
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            7 days ago

            Wasn’t it recently proven that the metals introduced into the upper atmosphere by satellites burning up depletes ozone? Its not a problem yet but maintaining constellations on the scale of cumulative several gigawatts of data centre would leave several tons of satellite burning up every single day. CFC Ozone hole is gonna look like a cloudy day in comparison.

            • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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              6 days ago

              I just wanted to add another note

              Even if this ozone thing turns out to not be true, there are still all sorts of other things being burned up in the atmosphere that can have other potential effects. It all needs to be studied given the size of these constellations.

              I wouldn’t be surprised if 50-60 years from now, if there is a real issue, that it eventually comes out that SpaceX or other mega constellation companies figured out it would be a problem, and just said nothing. Much like how big oil new CO2 was a problem forever ago and hid it.

            • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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              I don’t think anything was proven yet, but something came out saying it warranted more studying?

              Satellites might need to be redesigned around it in the future and more studies should be done.

            • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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              If they stop working they will just de-orbit it early, or if they can’t cause it’s really broken, they’ll just wait the ~5-10 years to come down on it’s own.

  • jj4211@lemmy.world
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    6 days ago

    Ridiculous, you can’t have cloud computing in space, there’s no atmosphere!

    • ramenshaman@lemmy.world
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      Yes, and it’s easier to cool things on earth. In space, there’s no air to help you cool thinks off, you can only reject heat through radiation. Most spacecraft are carefully designed to reflect heat/light on surfaces facing the sun and radiate heat into empty space from surfaces that are shaded.

        • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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          Yes I’d like to build data centres on Uranus one of the most distant planets in our solar system, and also one without a solid surface but who’s counting.

          • very_well_lost@lemmy.world
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            My understanding is that these “datacenters” would be used exclusively for model training, where latency doesn’t matter.

            It is still an outrageously stupid idea for a zillion other engineering reasons, though.

            • gramie@lemmy.ca
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              5 days ago

              There’s also the issue that around once a year the two planets will be on opposite sides of the sun. Not only would you have a lag of close to 3 hours, but communication would be completely impossible for a month or so at a time.

        • LwL@lemmy.world
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          It would need to have an atmosphere, so asteroids and most (all? Idk not an astronomer) moons are out.

          Mars might be feasible at some point in the far future, but there’s still the lag problem of 3-20 minutes depending on time of year, so not very useful for anything user facing.

          • very_well_lost@lemmy.world
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            6 days ago

            most moons

            Pretty much every moon but Titan. Titan, however, would be excellent for heat dissipation. Long before generative AI was even a thing, scientists have speculated that Titan would be the perfect place for datacenters because low-temperature computation is so much more efficient.

            Of course, building a datacenter on Titan would be a several-hundred-trillion dollar endeavor, so… good luck bootstrapping your way into that industry.

          • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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            None of the moons in our solar system have atmospheres. Earths moon is too small to hold on to an atmosphere, and the Galilean moons of Jupiter are too cold for an atmosphere, the gases just freeze.

            The best place would be either a space station in low earth orbit or of the L4 or L5 point. The data issue would be the problem though I suppose you could just use the data centres for training but not for active processing but then you would need to build data centres on earth for that.

            Given that you’re going to build the earth data centres anyway you might as well do all of the processing on earth at the same time.

  • iampivot@lemmy.world
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    The thing that people miss in this is that the feature they’re seeking by putting servers in space is only to have servers outside of any jurisdiction, with the advantages that it might bring

    • TheFinn@discuss.tchncs.de
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      Whatever company owns it will be responsible for it. That company will answer to whoever it needs to here on earth.

    • REDACTED@infosec.pub
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      Imagine spending 10 years to build a server in space to avoid some law and next month government changes the law

    • hansolo@lemmy.today
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      This is 1 million% what’s at play here. Tech bros HATE that they have to deal with stupid laws, and putting a server outside of the jurisdiction of literally every country is a dream. A giant server ship has to dock, it needs fuel…not so with something in orbit (in Elon fantasy land anyway)

  • Ftumch@lemmy.today
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    There’s another problem that nobody mentions. Putting thousands of additional satellites into space would seriously increase the risk of Kessler Syndrome occurring.

    • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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      This isn’t true for low orbit items. They will come down on their own in ~5 years.

      At the absolute worst case scenario, we’d be blocked or ~5 years. Maybe 10 years if they put it a little higher.

      • Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz
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        Collisions in LEO can chuck debris into orbits which intersect higher orbits. If one of those collides with something in in said higher orbits, you have a problem.

        • Buddahriffic@lemmy.world
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          Any orbit resulting from a collision will pass through that collision point unless there’s another collision to change it’s velocity again. The higher a collision sends an object, the more likely the “orbit” intersects with more atmosphere to cause drag, or it might even collide with the ground without drag.

        • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
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          It’s possible it could go to a higher orbit, but we don’t have mega constellations in those orbits. I don’t know enough to know how far something could get flung up either, but I suspect if you’re in a 5y orbit, you aren’t reaching a 50y orbit area, and probably not even a 10y orbit area.

        • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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          I sincerely doubt that a collision in low earth orbit is going to result in debris being flicked up into geostationary orbits, the energy differences involved are just monumental.

    • Blackmist@feddit.uk
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      At this point I feel we’d just be immunising the rest of the universe from human stupidity.

    • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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      Little bit of a nitpick but Kessler syndrome doesn’t care about how many satellites you have, and more about how many dead satellites you have hanging around on random orbits. You could put hundreds of millions of satellites in space as long as you had some sort of decommissioned program. You can always send up rockets if you can just move the satellites out of the way / know where they are.

      • Ftumch@lemmy.today
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        Dead satellites do add a much larger risk than satellites that can be steered, sure. If we stopped steering all our satellites right now, I believe it’d only take a few days before a collision occurred.

        However, every satellite in orbit adds to the risk, especially if a chain reaction starts happening and it becomes very hard to avoid the shrapnel flying around. Or if a once-in-a-century-type solar flare takes out a bunch of satellites.

        Edit: Basically, the best way to prevent Kessler Syndrome from occurring, is to keep the number of satellites in orbit below the threshold where it could occur.

  • mechoman444@lemmy.world
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    The idea of putting data centers in low Earth orbit sounds cool at first. It feels futuristic. It feels like something that should be efficient. It is not.

    Yes, space is cold. Yes, you get a lot of solar power. Those are the two points everyone repeats. What they leave out is basic physics and cost.

    Cooling in space is not free. There is no convection. Heat only leaves through radiation. That means giant radiator panels. AI racks throw off massive heat loads. The more compute you add, the more radiator surface area you need. That adds mass. Mass costs money to launch.

    Even with companies like SpaceX driving launch prices down, it is still extremely expensive per kilogram. And servers are not permanent infrastructure. They get replaced every three to five years. You cannot economically upgrade racks in orbit the way you do in a building on Earth.

    Then you have radiation. Either you harden the electronics, which makes them slower and more expensive, or you accept higher failure rates and build in heavy redundancy. Maintenance becomes a logistical nightmare. A failed power supply on Earth is a service call. In orbit it is a robotics problem.

    Meanwhile hyperscalers like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, and Google put data centers next to cheap power, fiber backbones, and cold climates. It is boring. It is practical. It works. Orbital data centers only make sense if we already have large scale industry in space. We do not.

    And what really makes these threads irritating is the obvious rage bait framing. Throw up a clickbait title about AI destroying the planet or Big Tech trying to escape Earth and you attract people who already hate AI. The discussion stops being about engineering and economics and turns into ideological noise.

    If someone wants to seriously debate energy efficiency or scaling limits, fine. But pretending near Earth orbit is some obvious solution is not serious analysis. It is a cool sci fi concept. It is not a rational infrastructure strategy.

    • jj4211@lemmy.world
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      To add to your point about logistical nightmare, Microsoft tried an underwater datacenter. Even right there, just a little bit underwater was absolutely not worth it.

      • Schadrach@lemmy.sdf.org
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        5 days ago

        Really? I would have figured the Rapture route would be workable with the right engineering. Especially given the massive amounts of borderline free cooling and non-existing regulatory environment if outside territorial waters.

        • jj4211@lemmy.world
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          5 days ago

          Possible, but just not worth it. In their case it was barely underwater in some shallows. Go full Rapture without ADAM and it’s just untenable.

    • prenatal_confusion@feddit.org
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      6 days ago

      Servers get replaced that often because they are using too much energy for too little computing power compared to newer generations. If the module is already up there and functioning and energy is free then it’s a whole different thing.

      Defects are another topic.

      And the whole thing is obviously crazy for a whole lot of other reasons.

  • Reygle@lemmy.world
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    6 days ago

    Considering the ludicrous price to put each pound of equipment into orbit, I’d like to invite them to send as much hardware as they can in to (high) geostationary orbit so they can find out how well a vacuum does NOT promote radiating heat

    Edit: also forgot about solar radiation flipping bits. I love the idea of them having to reboot the machine (if they even can) remotely once ever 15 minutes

    • jj4211@lemmy.world
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      6 days ago

      I love how his rationale is that manufacturers of natural gas generator parts are backordered o 2030, so instead of… I don’t know, spinning up more natural gas hardware or terrestial power generation, the easiest solution is to go from 11 attempts/0 successful launches of a space platform to tens of thousands of launches a year carrying unprecedented mass of bullshit into orbit…

  • drspectr@lemmy.world
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    5 days ago

    Well its a great ideal if you happen to be a company with a space program, sounds like a very lucrative venture.

    • ayyy@sh.itjust.works
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      6 days ago

      Thats not a naive question at all. You’re totally right. The term to learn about this is “rad-hardened computing”. It’s a solved problem, but the solution involves a buttload of redundancy and extra silicon with huge performance reductions compared to non-hardened tech.

      It’s less of an issue if you’re in the shadow of the sun but still quite a big issue.

      • ErmahgherdDavid@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        6 days ago

        So they would need to swallow up even more of our chip fab production and push ram and SSD prices even further through the roof for checks notes ah yes… the same functionality as they have on earth.

        AI is already unprofitable because of the insane hardware requirements and the fact that no company has a “moat” so there is a race to the bottom pricing-wise… I can’t imagine anyone also then accounting for building space-hardened kit and getting it into space and dealing with shortened lifespan of the kit is ever gonna see a return.

        All this just so that a chatbot can confidently tell people the wrong stuff

    • DreamlandLividity@lemmy.world
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      6 days ago

      Yes but also no. Bit flips will happen unless you have rad-hardened computers but apparently, bit-flips are not really too problematic for LLM training. I guess when correct answers are optional, correct buts are as well.

      • Eximius@lemmy.world
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        I can’t tell if “correct buts” is just a genius detail in this comment… Or a genius happy little bitflip accident.

    • prenatal_confusion@feddit.org
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      Not trying to be an asshole, just giving info: the radiation shielding on earth is achieved (mostly?) by the magnetic field that diverts the big particle cannon ammunition.

  • Lettuce eat lettuce@lemmy.ml
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    7 days ago

    Of course they are, same with undersea data centers (for different reasons).

    But it doesn’t matter. In the late-stage capitalism we find ourselves in, you don’t need a real product, nor a promising prototype. You don’t even need a good idea, you just need the promise that you’ll come up with a good idea soon. That’s enough to get the investors drooling, the shareholders hyped, and the gullible idiots engaged.

    And you only have to maintain that long enough to pay yourself and your insiders some fat checks. Then when inevitably, reality barges in and people start to realize it was all bullshit and pipe dreams, you’ve already cashed out. If your PR team is good, the media and your sycophantic fans will praise you as a visionary who was simply, “ahead of their time.” And you can go on to rip off more people.

    It’s basically Patreon scams but with billions of dollars.

    • Murdoc@sh.itjust.works
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      7 days ago

      Interesting. So the “post-truth era” isn’t just for the masses, but the rich as well, as they cannibalise each other.

    • maplesaga@lemmy.world
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      Late stage capitalism just means late stage fiat currency doesn’t it, since all the money flooding in is debt and QE, and every dollar created and placed into the market is new cheap debt issuance?

      Then we bail all the bad debt out when it fails, so the perverse incentive to issue bad debt is always there, because its not capitalist and nobody would backstop this mess if it was their own capital.

      • JcbAzPx@lemmy.world
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        7 days ago

        You can have late stage capitalism with any monetary system. Though relying on inherent value tends to leave poor people in much worse conditions much more quickly.

        • maplesaga@lemmy.world
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          7 days ago

          If anything it seems more like crony capitalism, when the CPI is understated and all investments are excluded it drives down borrowing rates and bond yields, which raises stock values and provides a stream of revenue to those with access to the most credit.

          People like Elon Musk who avoid paying taxes by borrowing cheap debt, which who would lend to him their own capital when his collateral is Tesla stock and silly ideas like space datacenters. Which is entirely built on speculation and pumps to new all time highs whenever QE is unloaded into the market; they would be taking the risk that Tesla doesnt go to 0 for a small fixed income payout, if it was their own money and a bailout wasnt guaranteed.

      • Lettuce eat lettuce@lemmy.ml
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        Everything you described falls under the umbrella of Capitalism.

        Capitalism will always result in this sort of devolution, because it rewards this sort of behavior.

        Constant GDP growth fuels capitalist enterprises because valuations go up and Capital is expanded. That incentivizes governments to make access to Capital easier and regulations on growth looser, which the firms themselves favor in terms of lower taxes, cheaper loans, larger capital markets, etc.

        How many business leaders lobby, vote, and push for higher general taxes, stronger labor rights, stricter regulations, and more expensive loans?

        The only time you’ll see them doing any of those things, is when it directly hurts one of their major competitors.

        This makes perfect sense within a Capitalist framework, because private ownership of the means of production and increasing profitability are literally the core of Capitalism. So of course Capitalists will always tend towards what makes the most money.

        All the worst traits of modern Capitalism, (Everything is a subscription, planned obsolescence, shrinkflation, extreme litigiousness over patents and copyrights, ads in everything, predatory pricing & monetization) are the logical result of a Capitalist system.

  • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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    6 days ago

    Before even considering radiation damage, hopium $200/kg launch costs mean 15c/kwh electricity. The you add the cost of specialized panels and radiation emitters. At least 20x that of earthly systems.

    • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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      6 days ago

      Okay, but have you considered how cool it would be to put a data center in space?

      What if I told you that we have to BEAT CHINA to space?

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        BEAT CHINA to space is for sure the magic words, but even better, what I told you to come up with an excuse to merge my space company with my AI company, and even though it is a paper transaction with no money changing hands, increase my wealth by $300B for the price I set!

        hmmm… beat china does sound better.

        • 5too@lemmy.world
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          Red Menace, Yellow Peril… Who’ve we got coming up for the Green Trouble?

  • Treczoks@lemmy.world
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    7 days ago

    I said so long ago. Flying masses of stuff into orbit, keeping it alive in a relative high radiation environment, cooling issues (there is no local river you can conveniently turn into steam), the list is long. Getting free power from large solar panels does not make up for it.

    • Thorry@feddit.org
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      Plus when you build a datacenter on Earth you can use it for decades. You can swap out small parts (like the servers and networking hardware), which keeps it useful. Cooling and power setups are often good for a very long time and those can also be upgraded if needed. The building itself and all of the supporting infrastructure is good for at least 50 years. And a lot of the building is dedicated to easy access for humans to do stuff like maintenance. This is a design requirement for any datacenter.

      When shooting shit into space, that’s it, you can’t access it for upgrades or maintenance. And we’ve seen these past years cutting edge AI hardware is good for maybe 3 years at best. After that it’s basically worthless, maybe useful for some niche uses, but mostly useless and definitely not profitable. Not that this matters much, as to keep latency down the orbits would be so low they deorbit within 3-5 years anyways, like with the current Starlink constellation.

      But this is of course very useful for a cheap launch provider, as it keeps them yeeting shit into space non-stop. And what a surprise, Elon Musk is one of the people pushing this concept hard. No alternate motives there for sure.

      • SaltySalamander@fedia.io
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        7 days ago

        but mostly useless and definitely not profitable

        The main reason for this unprofitability is, quite frankly, energy costs. Wouldn’t be much of an issue in space where your energy is free.

        • Thorry@feddit.org
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          7 days ago

          No such thing as a free lunch tho. It’s like saying solar energy on Earth is free, it’s obviously not. Sure, once the panels are produced and installed, the running costs are minimal. But that doesn’t mean that energy is now suddenly free. When I did the calculation on my solar installation, I took the costs of buying the panels, installing them, maintaining them and in the end tearing them down and properly recycling them. Then we calculated the estimated total energy produced during the lifetime of the system and thus arrived at a cost per unit of energy. Then we can compare that to what the cost would be as compared to other energy sources. At the time it didn’t make financial sense, as over the lifetime other energy sources (which might have been solar as well, just out of large scale installations) would be cheaper. But some government subsidies, plus a feeling the cost of energy in the future is unsure and wanting to contribute to sustainable energy production made me pay for them anyways.

          It’s the exact same with launching a datacenter into space. Once it’s up there the energy might not cost anything and running costs per satellite might be relatively low (although there still are running costs for sure, often just spread out over the entire constellation), but that doesn’t mean the thing is free. Investers would want to see a return. So that means a lot of the costs are upfront, developing the system, paying the launch provider, getting the right licenses, etc, etc. Then during the lifetime of the system, it needs to sell the compute in order to make a profit. When directly competing with newer ground based systems that run cutting edge technology, it doesn’t really matter where or how the compute is done. It’s simply a unit of work being sold at market rate. Newer technology will push the price per unit down, as the new tech is more efficient. And it might make your compute less attractive as it’s lacking in newer capabilities, so it can only be sold at a lower price.

          So even if the system would be designed for a lifespan of 10 years and put into an orbit that can last 10 years, the compute would be very hard to be sold for any reasonable price after 5 years. And as mentioned, operating a satellite is far from free, there are many running costs associated.

    • db2@lemmy.world
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      7 days ago

      Getting free power from large solar panels does not make up for it

      For the power required “large” is actually a gargantuan understatement. It would need to be larger than what would be easily seen from the planet surface.

      Elon is a complete moron.